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Currency Analyst since 2010

Bloomberg poll: what will ECB do?

Bloomberg has surveyed 28 economists of the leading banks asking about their expectations of the European Central Bank’s policy. These forecasts provide a glimpse into how the market feels.

  1. Rate cuts

-          ECB will make no more cuts in the refi rate: 100% of respondents

-          ECB will make one more cut in the deposit rate in Q1 2015: 3% of respondents

-          ECB will make no more cuts in the deposit rate: 97% of respondents

  1. Rate will be increased in:

-          2017: 39% of respondents

-          2016: 45% of respondents

-          2015: 13% of respondents

-          2018: 3% of respondents

    3.  ABS program will happen in:

-          2015: 50% of respondents

-          2014: 44% of respondents

-          Never: 6% of respondents

  1. The state of the European economy during the next month will be:

-          Unchanged: 76% of respondents

-          Improving: 14% of respondents

-          Deteriorating: 10% of respondents

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